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Chịu cú sốc nguồn cung từ Nga, ngành hóa chất và phân bón đang chật vật vượt qua ‘cơn khát’ năng lượng

June 15, 2024by BoldThemes197

Yeah, well, you know, that’s just, like, your opinion.

The General Manager

Cuộc khủng hoảng chính là hồi chuông cảnh tỉnh lớn đối với tất cả mọi người về việc cần tạo ra một hệ thống lương thực mới, một hệ thống ít phụ thuộc vào Nga hơn.

“Tổn thương” từ cú sốc nguồn cung

Cuộc xung đột ở Ukraine đang tàn phá chuỗi cung ứng toàn cầu. Các biện pháp trừng phạt của phương Tây, sự gián đoạn trong vận chuyển hàng hóa đã phá vỡ các hoạt động mua sắm thông thường. Dư âm mà nó mang lại đang được cảm nhận trên khắp các ngành công nghiệp toàn cầu, nhưng tác động đối với lĩnh vực hóa chất và nông nghiệp có vẻ nghiêm trọng nhất.

“Các ngành công nghiệp sử dụng nhiều năng lượng và các nhà sản xuất phân bón tại châu Âu là hai nhóm bị ảnh hưởng nặng nề nhất,” Sebastian Bray, nhà phân tích hóa chất hàng đầu tại ngân hàng đầu tư Đức Berenberg cho biết. “Bất kỳ công ty hóa chất nào sử dụng nhiều năng lượng hoặc khí đốt thường không có kết quả kinh doanh tốt trong vài tháng qua.”

Trước đây, thế giới dựa vào Nga để có phần lớn năng lượng, nguyên liệu cung cấp cho chuỗi thức ăn và các ngành công nghiệp toàn cầu. Mặc dù chiếm chưa đến 3% tổng sản phẩm quốc nội toàn cầu, Nga, Ukraine và nước láng giềng Belarus đóng vai trò lớn với tư cách là nhà sản xuất và xuất khẩu hàng đầu các mặt hàng nông nghiệp, khoáng sản, phân bón và năng lượng.

Nga là nhà cung cấp phân bón chính của thế giới và các thành phần quan trọng. Nước này chiếm khoảng 45% thị trường amoniac nitrat, 18% thị trường kali và 14% xuất khẩu phân lân toàn cầu.

Svein Tore Holsether, giám đốc điều hành của tập đoàn hóa chất Na Uy Yara International, một trong những nhà sản xuất hóa chất gốc nitơ lớn nhất thế giới, cho biết sự gián đoạn sau cuộc xung đột diễn ra nhanh chóng và phức tạp, gây áp lực lên thị trường vốn đã mỏng manh. Ngay cả trước xung đột, nguồn cung phân bón toàn cầu đã bị gián đoạn kéo dài do Covid, thiếu lao động và các biến động chung.

Ông nói: “Các chuỗi giá trị được tích hợp một cách đáng kinh ngạc. Từ châu Âu, Nga cho đến vị trí của các nguồn tài nguyên thiên nhiên, tất cả những chuỗi này đã được tạo ra trong nhiều thập kỷ. Ngay cả trong những giai đoạn căng thẳng nhất của chiến tranh lạnh, những sản phẩm này vẫn tiếp tục chảy nên hoạt động kinh doanh vẫn diễn ra. Nhưng tất cả đã thay đổi hoàn toàn chỉ trong vài ngày.”

Mặc dù không có lệnh cấm trực tiếp nào được áp dụng đối với các sản phẩm thực phẩm và phân bón từ Nga, nhưng các quốc gia phương Tây cho rằng xung đột đã cắt đứt hoạt động xuất khẩu thực phẩm của Ukraine. Moscow đang đổ lỗi cho các biện pháp trừng phạt đã làm hạn chế các chuyến hàng của họ.

BoldThemes

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